Noah Fant Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Noah Fant

NFL · Player Props

Noah Fant

TE · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Noah Fant Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (+104/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.62 seconds per play.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Noah Fant to accrue 4.3 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 84th percentile among tight ends.
Noah Fant's possession skills have been refined this year, with his Completion% jumping from 76.6% to 80.6%.
Noah Fant's skills in grinding out extra yardage have gotten a boost this season, averaging 7.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs just 4.10 mark last season.

Favors Under

Noah Fant has been much less involved in his team's passing game this year (10.6% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (18.5%).
Noah Fant has put up quite a few less air yards this season (19.0 per game) than he did last season (35.0 per game).
Noah Fant has compiled substantially fewer receiving yards per game (21.0) this year than he did last year (41.0).
The Arizona Cardinals pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.
The Seattle Seahawks have faced a stacked the box on just 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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