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Noah Fant

Noah Fant Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

New Orleans Saints vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Noah Fant Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+102/-139).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -139.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Seahawks are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 5th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 63.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 132.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Noah Fant to notch 4.1 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 79th percentile among tight ends.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seattle Seahawks have called the 5th-least plays in football this year, averaging just 53.2 plays per game.
  • Noah Fant has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (50.0% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (76.4%).
  • Noah Fant has accrued far fewer air yards this year (10.0 per game) than he did last year (35.0 per game).
  • Noah Fant has accumulated many fewer receiving yards per game (15.0) this season than he did last season (41.0).
  • Noah Fant's pass-catching efficiency has declined this year, accumulating a mere 5.36 yards-per-target compared to a 7.41 rate last year.

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