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Noah Fant

Noah Fant Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Seattle Seahawks vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Noah Fant Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Noah Fant to accumulate 3.9 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 76th percentile among tight ends.
  • Noah Fant has been heavily involved in his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 17.7% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 91st percentile among TEs.
  • Noah Fant has compiled a monstrous 33.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 86th percentile among TEs.
  • Noah Fant has been among the top TE receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 38.0 yards per game while ranking in the 86th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to run the 3rd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 59.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have run the least plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a mere 54.7 plays per game.
  • The Seattle Seahawks offensive line grades out as the 8th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • Noah Fant's pass-catching efficiency has declined this season, averaging just 4.94 yards-per-target compared to a 7.41 rate last season.
  • The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has excelled when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.29 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 2nd-least in football.

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