Noah Fant Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Noah Fant

NFL · Player Props

Noah Fant

TE · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Noah Fant Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Seahawks are a giant 8.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Noah Fant to accumulate 3.9 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 75th percentile among tight ends.
Noah Fant has been an integral part of his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 18.3% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 91st percentile among TEs.
Noah Fant has totaled a whopping 34.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 86th percentile among TEs.
Noah Fant has been among the top TE receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 39.0 yards per game while ranking in the 84th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 5th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to run the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 58.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Seattle Seahawks have run the least plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling just 55.1 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
Opposing teams have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 3rd-least in football.

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