Noah Fant Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Noah Fant

NFL · Player Props

Noah Fant

TE · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 9, 2023 1:01 AM EST

Analysis

Noah Fant Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 8th-most pass-centric offense in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 64.3% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects Noah Fant to accumulate 4.2 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 79th percentile among tight ends.
Noah Fant has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL among tight ends, completing an impressive 76.9% of passes thrown his way this year, grading out in the 81st percentile.
Noah Fant's skills in generating extra yardage have improved this year, notching 5.76 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a mere 4.10 figure last year.
The Los Angeles Rams safeties grade out as the 3rd-worst group of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

The Seahawks are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Noah Fant has gone out for fewer passes this year (53.7% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (76.4%).
Noah Fant has notched quite a few less air yards this season (26.0 per game) than he did last season (35.0 per game).
Noah Fant has accrued quite a few less receiving yards per game (29.0) this season than he did last season (41.0).

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