My Account Log Out
 
 
Noah Fant

Noah Fant Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Kansas City Chiefs vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Noah Fant Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (+100/-133).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -133.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Seahawks are a 3-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 63.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 135.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 8th-most in football.
  • THE BLITZ projects Noah Fant to accumulate 5.5 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile among tight ends.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seattle Seahawks have run the 6th-least plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.1 plays per game.
  • Noah Fant has been a much smaller part of his offense's air attack this season (12.0% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (18.5%).
  • Noah Fant has accrued significantly fewer air yards this season (24.0 per game) than he did last season (35.0 per game).
  • Noah Fant has totaled a lot fewer receiving yards per game (29.0) this year than he did last year (41.0).
  • The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has given up the 7th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (67.9%) vs. TEs this year (67.9%).

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™