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Noah Fant

Noah Fant Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Seattle Seahawks vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Noah Fant Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 9th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 64.1% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects Noah Fant to total 4.1 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 75th percentile among tight ends.
  • Noah Fant has been among the best possession receivers in the league among tight ends, hauling in an impressive 78.7% of passes thrown his way this year, grading out in the 76th percentile.
  • Noah Fant's ability to pick up extra yardage has improved this year, notching 6.73 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs just 4.10 mark last year.
  • The Carolina Panthers safeties grade out as the 8th-worst unit in football this year in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seahawks are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have called the 5th-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 54.2 plays per game.
  • Noah Fant has been a much smaller piece of his offense's passing attack this season (12.4% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (18.5%).
  • Noah Fant has notched significantly fewer air yards this season (26.0 per game) than he did last season (35.0 per game).

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