Noah Fant Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Noah Fant

NFL · Player Props

Noah Fant

TE · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Noah Fant Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-113/-121).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 63.0% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks offense to be the 10th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 27.52 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Noah Fant to notch 4.3 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 81st percentile among TEs.
The Seattle Seahawks O-line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
Noah Fant's talent in grinding out extra yardage have improved this year, compiling 7.63 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a measly 4.10 rate last year.

Favors Under

The Seahawks are a 4-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
Noah Fant has been much less involved in his team's passing game this season (12.6% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (18.5%).
Noah Fant has put up significantly fewer air yards this season (24.0 per game) than he did last season (35.0 per game).
Noah Fant has accrued significantly fewer receiving yards per game (28.0) this year than he did last year (41.0).
The Seattle Seahawks have faced a stacked the box on a measly 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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