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Noah Fant

Noah Fant Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 15

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

Noah Fant Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+353/-690).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -664 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -690.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Seahawks are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 6th-most in football.

The Seattle Seahawks offensive line ranks as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all passing game stats across the board.

The Seattle Seahawks have gone no-huddle on 15.5% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat accumulation.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to call the 6th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Seattle Seahawks have called the 3rd-least plays in football this year, averaging just 53.8 plays per game.

Noah Fant has notched quite a few less air yards this season (23.0 per game) than he did last season (35.0 per game).

Noah Fant's 23.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 37.1.

The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has allowed the 9th-lowest Completion% in the league (68.7%) versus tight ends this year (68.7%).

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