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Noah Fant
NFL · Player Props
Noah Fant
TE · Seattle Seahawks
Receiving TD
Seattle Seahawks vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 12, 2022 Updated Nov 28, 2022 12:11 AM UTC
NFL Props Noah Fant Receiving TD

Noah Fant Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+318/-582).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -576 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -582.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks offense to be the 10th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 27.52 seconds per play.
  • The Seattle Seahawks O-line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders defense has allowed the 4th-most touchdowns through the air in the NFL to tight ends: 0.60 per game this year.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers project as the 4th-worst LB corps in the league this year in pass coverage.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have stacked the box against opponents on 21.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
Favors Under
  • The Seahawks are a 4-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • Noah Fant has put up significantly fewer air yards this season (24.0 per game) than he did last season (35.0 per game).
  • Noah Fant's 25.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 37.1.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have faced a stacked the box on a measly 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have risked going for it on 4th down a mere 8.7% of the time since the start of last season (least in football), which generally means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.
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