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Noah Brown

Noah Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears

Noah Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-140/+108).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may drop-off.

When talking about pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Commanders ranks as the 2nd-best in the league this year.

Noah Brown's 73.7% Adjusted Catch Rate this season illustrates a material growth in his pass-catching skills over last season's 62.2% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Commanders as the 4th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 52.5% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect this game to play at the 11th-worst pace out of all the games this week, averaging 26.88 seconds per play accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

Noah Brown has been used less as a potential target this season (56.4% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last season (75.2%).

The Chicago Bears pass defense has yielded the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (61.2%) versus wide receivers this year (61.2%).

The Bears safeties profile as the 2nd-best safety corps in the league this year in covering receivers.

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