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Noah Brown

Noah Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Washington Commanders vs Carolina Panthers

Noah Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +123 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to run the 6th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.4 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

As it relates to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Commanders ranks as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.

Noah Brown's 72.0% Adjusted Catch% this season marks a noteworthy growth in his pass-catching ability over last season's 62.2% mark.

This year, the shaky Carolina Panthers pass defense has conceded a colossal 68.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 8th-worst rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Commanders being a 3-point favorite in this game.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Commanders to pass on 50.8% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Opposing teams have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game versus the Panthers defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.

Noah Brown's 55.1% Route% this season conveys a noteable decline in his pass attack usage over last season's 75.2% rate.

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