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Noah Brown

Noah Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Arizona Cardinals vs Washington Commanders

Noah Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

The Commanders O-line ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

Since the start of last season, the weak Arizona Cardinals pass defense has given up a monstrous 69.6% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 2nd-largest rate in the NFL.

The Cardinals safeties grade out as the 6th-worst unit in the league since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Washington Commanders as the 7th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 54.4% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 124.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Cardinals, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in the league (just 29.0 per game) since the start of last season.

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