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Noah Brown

Noah Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Cincinnati Bengals vs Washington Commanders

Noah Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-164/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -164.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Commanders being an enormous -7-point underdog in this game.

The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Commanders to pass on 54.2% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest clip among all teams this week.

To the extent of a defense's influence on pace, at 28.69 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 4th-slowest in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment.

Opposing QBs teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Bengals, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (a mere 32.2 per game) since the start of last season.

The leading projections forecast Noah Brown to be much less involved in his team's pass game in this game (10.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (15.9% in games he has played).

The Cincinnati cornerbacks project as the 3rd-best CB corps in football since the start of last season in defending receivers.

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