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Noah Brown

Noah Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Washington Commanders vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Noah Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Commanders are expected by the projection model to run 65.6 offensive plays in this game: the 10th-most among all teams this week.
  • The 10th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Washington Commanders this year (a whopping 58.5 per game on average).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is implied by the Commanders being a 6-point favorite in this week's game.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to pass on 49.9% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 29.6 pass attempts per game versus the Titans defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the league.
  • The Tennessee Titans pass defense has given up the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (60.9%) versus wideouts this year (60.9%).
  • The Tennessee Titans linebackers profile as the 6th-best LB corps in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

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