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Noah Brown

Noah Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders

Noah Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Commanders, who are -4-point underdogs.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may decline.

The Washington Commanders offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

Noah Brown's possession skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 62.2% to 66.4%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With respect to a defense's effect on pace, at 29.13 seconds per play, the predictive model expects the Commanders to be the 5th-most sluggish in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment.

Opposing teams have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 10th-fewest in the NFL.

The Eagles pass defense has given up the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (60.2%) to wide receivers this year (60.2%).

When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Philadelphia's CB corps has been tremendous this year, ranking as the best in football.

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