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Noah Brown

Noah Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans

Noah Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+116/-152).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -152.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 4th-fastest paced team in football (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Houston Texans.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Noah Brown's 42.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 34.5.

This year, the anemic Titans pass defense has surrendered a massive 71.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the largest rate in the league.

When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Tennessee's collection of CBs has been terrible this year, grading out as the 5th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Texans are a 5.5-point favorite this week, indicating a running game script.

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