Noah Brown Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 20

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Noah Brown

NFL · Player Props

Noah Brown

WR · Dallas Cowboys

Receptions

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 20, 2022

Updated Jan 22, 2023 11:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Noah Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+124/-158).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cowboys are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 137.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Dallas Cowboys have called the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 59.8 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
Noah Brown's receiving performance has been refined this season, averaging 2.9 yards per game compared to a mere 1.7 last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 57.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Noah Brown to be a much smaller piece of his offense's pass attack this week (7.9% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (14.2% in games he has played).
Noah Brown has been among the worst possession receivers in football, completing a mere 62.5% of balls thrown his way this year, ranking in the 22nd percentile among wideouts
The San Francisco 49ers linebackers rank as the 3rd-best LB corps in football this year in covering receivers.

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