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Noah Brown

Noah Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Dallas Cowboys vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Noah Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+135/-165).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 7th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 63.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 66.4 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 38.4 pass attempts per game against the Cincinnati Bengals defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cowboys to call the 2nd-least total plays among all teams this week with 61.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals cornerbacks grade out as the 3rd-best group of CBs in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have used play action on a mere 23.6% of their passing plays since the start of last season (9th-least in the NFL), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.

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