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Noah Brown

Noah Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Minnesota Vikings vs Dallas Cowboys

Noah Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+140/-190).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -190.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 140.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Opposing offenses have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.

Noah Brown has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (85.9% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (30.5%).

Noah Brown's receiving performance has gotten a boost this season, averaging 3.3 yards per game vs a mere 1.7 last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cowboys have been the 7th-least pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 57.2% pass rate.

The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on just 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The Dallas Cowboys have used play action on a lowly 23.6% of their passing plays since the start of last season (9th-least in the NFL), which ultimately hampers passing efficiency.

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