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Noah Brown

Noah Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears

Noah Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may drop-off.

When talking about pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Commanders ranks as the 2nd-best in the league this year.

Noah Brown's 73.7% Adjusted Catch Rate this season illustrates a material growth in his pass-catching skills over last season's 62.2% mark.

With a remarkable 10.1 adjusted yards per target (80th percentile) this year, Noah Brown stands as one of the top pass-catching wide receivers in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Commanders as the 4th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 52.5% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect this game to play at the 11th-worst pace out of all the games this week, averaging 26.88 seconds per play accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

Noah Brown has been used less as a potential target this season (56.4% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last season (75.2%).

After accruing 68.0 air yards per game last season, Noah Brown has been a disappointment this season, currently averaging 40.0 per game.

Noah Brown's 38.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year signifies a material decline in his receiving ability over last year's 53.0 figure.

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