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Noah Brown

Noah Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Washington Commanders vs Carolina Panthers

Noah Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 34.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to run the 6th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.4 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

As it relates to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Commanders ranks as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.

Noah Brown's 72.0% Adjusted Catch% this season marks a noteworthy growth in his pass-catching ability over last season's 62.2% mark.

Noah Brown comes in as one of the most effective pass-catchers in the NFL, averaging an excellent 9.76 adjusted yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 84th percentile among wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Commanders being a 3-point favorite in this game.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Commanders to pass on 50.8% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Opposing teams have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game versus the Panthers defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.

Noah Brown's 55.1% Route% this season conveys a noteable decline in his pass attack usage over last season's 75.2% rate.

After accruing 68.0 air yards per game last season, Noah Brown has significantly declined this season, now sitting at 46.0 per game.

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