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Noah Brown

Noah Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Cincinnati Bengals vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Noah Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Commanders being an enormous -7-point underdog in this game.
  • The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • When talking about air yards, Noah Brown grades out in the lofty 76th percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, accruing a massive 66.0 per game.
  • Noah Brown ranks as one of the leading wide receivers in the league since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 54.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 80th percentile.
  • Noah Brown grades out as one of the most efficient pass-catchers in the NFL, averaging an excellent 10.50 adjusted yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 98th percentile when it comes to WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Commanders to pass on 54.2% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • To the extent of a defense's influence on pace, at 28.69 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 4th-slowest in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Bengals, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (a mere 32.2 per game) since the start of last season.
  • The leading projections forecast Noah Brown to be much less involved in his team's pass game in this game (10.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (15.9% in games he has played).
  • The Cincinnati cornerbacks project as the 3rd-best CB corps in football since the start of last season in defending receivers.

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