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Noah Brown

Noah Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys

Noah Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 37.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Commanders are projected by the model to run 68.6 offensive plays in this game: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.

The 10th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Washington Commanders this year (a colossal 58.4 per game on average).

The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has shown weak efficiency vs. wide receivers this year, allowing 9.00 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-most in the league.

This year, the feeble Cowboys defense has allowed the 6th-most yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing wide receivers: a colossal 4.52 YAC.

When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Dallas's group of safeties has been terrible this year, projecting as the worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Commanders, who are a huge favorite by 10.5 points.

The predictive model expects the Commanders to be the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 47.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to rely on the passing game too much against the Dallas Cowboys, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 29.0 per game) this year.

Noah Brown has totaled significantly fewer air yards this year (55.0 per game) than he did last year (68.0 per game).

Noah Brown has put up significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (39.0) this year than he did last year (53.0).

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