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Noah Brown

Noah Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders

Noah Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 42.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 40.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Commanders, who are -4-point underdogs.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may decline.

The Washington Commanders offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

Noah Brown's possession skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 62.2% to 66.4%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With respect to a defense's effect on pace, at 29.13 seconds per play, the predictive model expects the Commanders to be the 5th-most sluggish in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment.

Opposing teams have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 10th-fewest in the NFL.

After totaling 68.0 air yards per game last year, Noah Brown has produced significantly fewer this year, now boasting 56.0 per game.

Noah Brown has accrued substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (42.0) this season than he did last season (53.0).

Noah Brown's 1.96 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season illustrates a material diminishment in his effectiveness in space over last season's 5.9% figure.

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