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Noah Brown

Noah Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Washington Commanders vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Noah Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 41.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Washington Commanders are expected by our trusted projection set to call 65.4 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Washington Commanders grades out as the 4th-best in the league this year.
  • Noah Brown's possession skills have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 62.2% to 69.6%.
  • Noah Brown ranks as one of the most efficient pass-catchers in football, averaging an exceptional 9.92 adjusted yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 82nd percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • The Steelers pass defense has displayed bad efficiency against WRs this year, surrendering 8.95 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Washington Commanders to be the 3rd-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 52.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Noah Brown has gone out for fewer passes this season (62.9% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (75.2%).
  • Noah Brown has accumulated significantly fewer air yards this season (54.0 per game) than he did last season (68.0 per game).
  • Noah Brown's 1.95 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season illustrates a noteable decline in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last season's 5.9% figure.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties rank as the 6th-best unit in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

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