My Account Log Out

reorder

Noah Brown

Noah Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Washington Commanders

Noah Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is suggested by the Commanders being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's game.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Commanders are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 65.6 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-highest number among all teams this week.

The Buccaneers defense has been a notorious pass funnel last year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (36.8 per game) last year.

Noah Brown has earned a massive 22.2% of his team's air yards last year: 75th percentile among wide receivers.

With an excellent 53.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (75th percentile) last year, Noah Brown places among the leading pass-catching wide receivers in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Commanders as the 8th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 54.9% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The Washington Commanders have played in the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL last year, which should result in lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack efficiency when facing windier conditions in this week's game.

While Noah Brown has accounted for 15.7% of his team's targets in games he has played last year, the projections expect him to be a less important option in Washington's pass game in this contest at 9.0%.

When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Tampa Bay's group of safeties has been phenomenal last year, grading out as the 8th-best in the NFL.

More Noah Brown Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™