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Noah Brown

Noah Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Houston Texans vs Cleveland Browns

Noah Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 40.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 39.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Texans are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their usual game plan.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to see 136.0 total plays run: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The leading projections forecast Noah Brown to total 6.7 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 75th percentile when it comes to WRs.

After totaling 51.0 air yards per game last season, Noah Brown has seen marked improvement this season, now sitting at 71.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 10th-least pass-focused team in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 59.0% pass rate.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game against the Browns defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.

This year, the formidable Cleveland Browns defense has surrendered a meager 123.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wideouts: the 4th-best in the league.

The Browns pass defense has surrendered the lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (54.4%) vs. wideouts this year (54.4%).

As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Cleveland's collection of LBs has been tremendous this year, ranking as the 8th-best in the NFL.

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