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Noah Brown

Noah Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Dallas Cowboys vs Indianapolis Colts

Noah Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 140.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Noah Brown has been used less as a potential target this season (84.6% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (29.7%).

Noah Brown has accumulated many more air yards this year (54.0 per game) than he did last year (17.0 per game).

Noah Brown has put up a lot more receiving yards per game (43.0) this year than he did last year (21.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cowboys are a huge 10.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 8th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 3rd-least in the NFL.

The Indianapolis Colts defense has conceded the least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 121.0) vs. WRs this year.

The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has exhibited good efficiency versus wide receivers this year, yielding 7.66 yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-least in the league.

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