Noah Brown Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Noah Brown

NFL · Player Props

Noah Brown

WR · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 24, 2022 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Noah Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-103/-133).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Noah Brown has run fewer routes this year (84.6% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (30.5%).
Noah Brown has compiled far more air yards this year (54.0 per game) than he did last year (18.0 per game).
Noah Brown has put up a lot more receiving yards per game (43.0) this year than he did last year (21.0).

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a giant 10-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
The Cowboys rank as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.4% pass rate.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Giants defense this year: 9th-least in the NFL.
The New York Giants pass defense has allowed the 4th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (61.3%) versus wideouts this year (61.3%).
The New York Giants pass defense has exhibited good efficiency versus WRs this year, giving up 7.76 yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-least in the league.

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