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Nico Collins

Nico Collins Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Houston Texans vs Miami Dolphins

Nico Collins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+116/-152).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -146 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -152.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Houston Texans as the 9th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the Texans to be the 2nd-fastest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 26.66 seconds per snap.

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

In this week's contest, Nico Collins is anticipated by the model to slot into the 97th percentile among wide receivers with 10.0 targets.

Nico Collins's 66.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 52.5.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

As it relates to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Texans grades out as the 8th-worst in the league this year.

Nico Collins's ball-catching skills have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 71.9% to 66.6%.

More Nico Collins Player Props

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