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Nico Collins

Nico Collins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans

Nico Collins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 90.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 86.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 90.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 10th-most pass-heavy team in the league (61.8% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Texans.

The predictive model expects the Houston Texans to be the 2nd-fastest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 26.84 seconds per snap.

Opposing QBs have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 8th-most in the league.

The model projects Nico Collins to accrue 9.0 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 90th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

Nico Collins has compiled significantly more air yards this season (104.0 per game) than he did last season (81.0 per game).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this game, suggesting more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical game plan.

In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Texans grades out as the 6th-worst in football this year.

Nico Collins's 66.5% Adjusted Completion Rate this season signifies a substantial reduction in his pass-catching skills over last season's 71.9% rate.

More Nico Collins Player Props

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