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Nico Collins

Nico Collins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Houston Texans vs Detroit Lions

Nico Collins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 80.5 (-113/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 84.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 80.5 @ -113.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Texans are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their normal game plan.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Texans to pass on 59.2% of their plays: the 7th-highest clip among all teams this week.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 128.7 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The Houston Texans have run the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.

The Lions defense has been something of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in football (39.9 per game) this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Houston offensive line profiles as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing game stats across the board.

This year, the imposing Detroit Lions defense has allowed the 7th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wideouts: a measly 7.4 yards.

As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Detroit's unit has been fantastic this year, profiling as the best in the NFL.

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