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Nico Collins

Nico Collins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans

Nico Collins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 78.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 78.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 78.5 @ -133.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's line indicates an extreme passing game script for the Texans, who are giant -9.5-point underdogs.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Texans are predicted by the predictive model to run 67.9 offensive plays in this game: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.

The Baltimore Ravens defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in the league (38.2 per game) this year.

This week, Nico Collins is predicted by the projections to position himself in the 100th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 10.4 targets.

While Nico Collins has been responsible for 23.2% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more integral piece of Houston's offense in this week's game at 30.0%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year, the formidable Ravens defense has given up a mere 59.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 5th-smallest rate in the NFL.

The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has shown strong efficiency vs. WRs this year, yielding 6.52 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the fewest in the NFL.

As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Baltimore's collection of safeties has been fantastic this year, projecting as the best in football.

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