Nico Collins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Nico Collins

NFL · Player Props

Nico Collins

WR · Houston Texans

Receiving Yards

New York Jets vs Houston Texans · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 11, 2023 3:36 AM UTC

Analysis

Nico Collins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Houston Texans to run the 9th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
In this game, Nico Collins is predicted by the predictive model to find himself in the 86th percentile among wide receivers with 7.9 targets.
Nico Collins's 24.2% Target% this year marks a substantial growth in his pass game utilization over last year's 19.2% rate.
Nico Collins has notched quite a few more air yards this season (92.0 per game) than he did last season (82.0 per game).
Nico Collins has accrued a lot more adjusted receiving yards per game (85.0) this season than he did last season (48.0).

Favors Under

With a 3-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their typical game plan.
The leading projections forecast the Houston Texans to be the 4th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 51.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.1 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Jets defense this year: 6th-fewest in football.
This year, the formidable New York Jets defense has allowed a feeble 99.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wideouts: the fewest in football.
This year, the daunting New York Jets defense has allowed the 2nd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wideouts: a feeble 7.0 yards.

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