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Nico Collins

Nico Collins Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 2

Denver Broncos vs Houston Texans

Nico Collins Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+303/-541).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +332 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +303.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Texans are a massive 10-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans offense to be the 5th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 25.58 seconds per snap.

The Denver Broncos defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.53 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 6th-worst in the league since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in the league.

The Houston Texans offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

The Denver Broncos pass defense has conceded the 7th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (62.4%) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season (62.4%).

The Denver Broncos linebackers profile as the 4th-best group of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

The Houston Texans O-line has afforded their quarterback just 2.33 seconds before getting pressured (worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

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