Nick Westbrook Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Nick Westbrook

NFL · Player Props

Nick Westbrook

WR · Tennessee Titans

Receptions

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tennessee Titans · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 3, 2023 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Nick Westbrook Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+143/-199).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -199.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Tennessee Titans offensive approach to skew 1.1% more towards the passing game than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Tim Kelly now calling the plays.
A passing game script is implied by the Titans being a -3-point underdog in this game.
Nick Westbrook's 61.0% snap rate this season represents a significant diminishment in his offensive volume over last season's 73.1% mark.
Nick Westbrook's receiving skills have improved this season, accumulating 2.9 adjusted catches compared to just 1.7 last season.
Nick Westbrook's 72.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this season illustrates a noteworthy progression in his receiving proficiency over last season's 57.6% rate.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Titans to pass on 50.8% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
At the present time, the 5th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Titans.
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has yielded the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (62%) vs. wideouts this year (62.0%).

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