Nick Westbrook Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Nick Westbrook

NFL · Player Props

Nick Westbrook

WR · Tennessee Titans

Receptions

Tennessee Titans vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 8:02 PM EST

Analysis

Nick Westbrook Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-170/+140).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Titans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to skew 1.9% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
Nick Westbrook has been a much smaller piece of his team's offense this year, staying in the game for just 62.4% of snaps vs 73.1% last year.
Nick Westbrook's pass-catching performance gotten a boost this season, notching 3.2 adjusted receptions compared to just 1.7 last season.
Nick Westbrook's 73.8% Adjusted Completion% this season represents a significant improvement in his pass-catching ability over last season's 57.6% rate.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Titans to be the 3rd-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 52.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The model projects the Titans to call the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.9 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The 3rd-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Titans this year (just 52.0 per game on average).
The Titans offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative influence on all air attack metrics across the board.
The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has yielded the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (61.9%) vs. wide receivers this year (61.9%).

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