Nick Westbrook Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Nick Westbrook

NFL · Player Props

Nick Westbrook

WR · Tennessee Titans

Receptions

Tennessee Titans vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 5:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Nick Westbrook Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+115/-149).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +108 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -149.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Tennessee Titans will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 5.4% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers rank as the worst collection of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.0% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans offense as the 8th-most sluggish paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.10 seconds per play.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.9 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Chargers defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in the NFL.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line ranks as the worst in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
Nick Westbrook has been among the worst possession receivers in the NFL, hauling in a measly 57.3% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 11th percentile among WRs

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