Nick Westbrook Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Nick Westbrook

NFL · Player Props

Nick Westbrook

WR · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 3:31 AM EST

Analysis

Nick Westbrook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nick Westbrook's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 57.6% to 68.0%.
Nick Westbrook has been one of the most efficient pass-catchers in football, averaging an outstanding 9.10 adjusted yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 76th percentile when it comes to WRs.
The Houston Texans defense has surrendered the 10th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (168.0) to WRs this year.
This year, the poor Texans defense has been torched for the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wide receivers: a whopping 9.28 yards.

Favors Under

With a 3-point advantage, the Titans are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their standard approach.
The leading projections forecast the Tennessee Titans to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the Titans to call the 10th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 64.3 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have called the 4th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 54.5 plays per game.
Nick Westbrook has been less involved as a potential target this season (69.1% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (80.0%).

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