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Nick Westbrook

Nick Westbrook Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Miami Dolphins vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Nick Westbrook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Titans offensive strategy to lean 2.5% more towards the passing game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Tim Kelly now calling the plays.
  • The Titans are a heavy 13.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • Nick Westbrook's 68.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this season reflects a meaningful progression in his receiving ability over last season's 57.6% figure.
  • This year, the shaky Miami Dolphins pass defense has given up a whopping 71.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 3rd-largest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Tennessee Titans to be the least pass-heavy offense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 56.1% pass rate.
  • The leading projections forecast the Titans to call the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 53.9 plays per game.
  • Nick Westbrook's 67.6% Route% this season conveys a material diminishment in his passing game workload over last season's 80.0% mark.
  • The Tennessee O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.

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