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Nick Westbrook

Nick Westbrook Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Nick Westbrook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Tennessee Titans offensive gameplan to tilt 2.7% more towards the passing game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Tim Kelly now calling the plays.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see just 130.9 total plays called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • Nick Westbrook's ball-catching skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 57.6% to 71.0%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Tennessee Titans to pass on 53.5% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The Tennessee Titans have called the fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 52.2 plays per game.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 34.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Colts defense this year: 8th-fewest in football.
  • Nick Westbrook's 65.5% Route Participation% this year reflects a material decline in his passing attack volume over last year's 80.0% rate.
  • The Tennessee Titans offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

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