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Nick Westbrook

Nick Westbrook Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Nick Westbrook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Titans offensive strategy to skew 1.9% more towards the passing attack than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Tim Kelly now calling the plays.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 40.0 pass attempts per game against the Buccaneers defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
  • Nick Westbrook's 73.6% Adjusted Catch Rate this year shows a substantial improvement in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 57.6% rate.
  • Nick Westbrook's 9.5 adjusted yards per target this year marks a substantial improvement in his receiving skills over last year's 8.2 figure.
  • This year, the feeble Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has yielded a monstrous 197.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wide receivers: the most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Titans to pass on 53.4% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Titans are expected by the model to run only 62.8 offensive plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the 6th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 54.5 plays per game.
  • Nick Westbrook has been used less as a potential target this season (67.6% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last season (80.0%).
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Titans grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year.

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