Nick Westbrook Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Nick Westbrook

NFL · Player Props

Nick Westbrook

WR · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Tennessee Titans · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 7, 2022 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Nick Westbrook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Titans are a big 13.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 43.3 pass attempts per game versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: most in the league.
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (73.7% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (58.7%).
The Kansas City Chiefs defense has surrendered the 5th-most receiving yards per game in football (178.0) to WRs this year.
The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, yielding an average of 5.79 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 6th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 3rd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 51.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 52.7 plays per game.
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine has accumulated far fewer air yards this season (30.0 per game) than he did last season (37.0 per game).
The Tennessee Titans offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

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