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Nick Westbrook

Nick Westbrook Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Kansas City Chiefs vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Nick Westbrook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Titans are a big 13.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 43.3 pass attempts per game versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: most in the league.
  • Nick Westbrook-Ikhine has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (73.7% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (58.7%).
  • The Kansas City Chiefs defense has surrendered the 5th-most receiving yards per game in football (178.0) to WRs this year.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, yielding an average of 5.79 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 6th-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 3rd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 51.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 52.7 plays per game.
  • Nick Westbrook-Ikhine has accumulated far fewer air yards this season (30.0 per game) than he did last season (37.0 per game).
  • The Tennessee Titans offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

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