Nick Westbrook Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Nick Westbrook

NFL · Player Props

Nick Westbrook

WR · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 8:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Nick Westbrook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (+110/-144).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing teams have averaged 37.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Houston Texans defense this year: 10th-most in football.
THE BLITZ projects Nick Westbrook-Ikhine to be a much bigger part of his team's pass game this week (14.8% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (8.9% in games he has played).
The Houston Texans defense has yielded the 9th-most receiving yards per game in football (169.0) to WRs this year.
The Houston Texans pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing WRs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 6.88 yards-after-the-catch this year: the most in the NFL.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 47.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have called the 3rd-least plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 52.5 plays per game.
The Tennessee Titans O-line profiles as the 4th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass game stats across the board.
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 72.9% to 58.8%.

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