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Nick Westbrook

Nick Westbrook Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Nick Westbrook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (+110/-144).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 37.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Houston Texans defense this year: 10th-most in football.
  • THE BLITZ projects Nick Westbrook-Ikhine to be a much bigger part of his team's pass game this week (14.8% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (8.9% in games he has played).
  • The Houston Texans defense has yielded the 9th-most receiving yards per game in football (169.0) to WRs this year.
  • The Houston Texans pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing WRs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 6.88 yards-after-the-catch this year: the most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 47.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have called the 3rd-least plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 52.5 plays per game.
  • The Tennessee Titans O-line profiles as the 4th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass game stats across the board.
  • Nick Westbrook-Ikhine's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 72.9% to 58.8%.

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