Nick Westbrook Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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NFL · Player Props

Nick Westbrook

WR · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 7:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Nick Westbrook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (+103/-134).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 33.5 @ -134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Nick Westbrook-Ikhine to be much more involved in his team's air attack this week (15.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (9.5% in games he has played).
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine has put up far more air yards this year (42.0 per game) than he did last year (37.0 per game).
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine has been among the most effective pass-catchers in the NFL, averaging an impressive 10.35 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 81st percentile among wideouts.
The Indianapolis Colts linebackers project as the worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Tennessee Titans have been faced with a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 52.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the 2nd-least plays in football this year, totaling just 52.2 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.8 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 7th-least in the NFL.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.