Nick Westbrook Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

NFL · Player Props

Nick Westbrook

WR · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Nick Westbrook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Tennessee Titans have called the 7th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 64.8 plays per game.
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine has been among the most efficient receivers in the NFL, averaging an impressive 9.52 yards-per-target since the start of last season while checking in at the 84th percentile among wideouts.
The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has surrendered the 9th-highest Completion% in the NFL (67.6%) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season (67.6%).
The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers grade out as the 7th-worst unit in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.
The Tennessee Titans have been faced with a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 5th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 55.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-most sluggish pace among all games this week, averaging 27.47 seconds per play based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line grades out as the 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
The Las Vegas Raiders defense has yielded the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in football (just 126.0) versus WRs since the start of last season.
The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has exhibited good efficiency versus wide receivers since the start of last season, giving up 7.34 yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-least in the league.