Nick Westbrook Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Nick Westbrook

NFL · Player Props

Nick Westbrook

WR · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Chargers vs Tennessee Titans · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Nick Westbrook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (+100/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 36.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Titans are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (80.7% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (57.6%).
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine has compiled significantly more air yards this season (41.0 per game) than he did last season (36.0 per game).
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine has been among the most effective pass-catchers in football, averaging a terrific 9.34 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 76th percentile among wide receivers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 11th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the 2nd-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 52.8 plays per game.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line grades out as the worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine's ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 71.6% to 61.6%.

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