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Nick Westbrook

Nick Westbrook Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Green Bay Packers vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Nick Westbrook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Titans are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
  • Nick Westbrook-Ikhine has been less involved as a potential target this season (75.6% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (58.7%).
  • Nick Westbrook-Ikhine's pass-catching efficiency has improved this year, compiling 10.97 yards-per-target compared to a measly 9.73 rate last year.
  • Nick Westbrook-Ikhine's talent in generating extra yardage have gotten a boost this year, totaling 7.08 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs just 3.21 mark last year.
  • The Green Bay Packers pass defense has allowed the 8th-highest Completion% in football (69.2%) to wide receivers this year (69.2%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 6th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 122.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have called the least plays in the league this year, totaling just 52.3 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 2nd-least in the league.
  • The Tennessee Titans O-line profiles as the worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

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