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Nick Westbrook

Nick Westbrook Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 13

Philadelphia Eagles vs Tennessee Titans

Nick Westbrook Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+438/-1005).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -944 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1005.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Titans are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Titans to run the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Tennessee Titans have gone up against a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Tennessee Titans have used play action on 30.3% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (7th-most in football), causing the defense to bite on the run and resulting in much higher passing production.

The Tennessee Titans have gone no-huddle on 11.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-most in the league). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat accumulation.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 52.7 plays per game.

The Tennessee Titans offensive line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has allowed the lowest Completion% in the league (59%) versus wide receivers this year (59.0%).

The Philadelphia Eagles defense has yielded the 10th-least passing touchdowns in football to wide receivers: 0.73 per game this year.

The Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks profile as the 2nd-best collection of CBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

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